《Time》 Magazine: Trump Launches Coin, Has the "Pandora's Box" Been Opened?

By: blockbeats|2025/01/25 02:45:02
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Original Title: Why Trump's Meme Coins Have Alarmed Both Crypto Insiders and Legal Experts
Original Source: TIME
Original Compilation, Translation: 比推 BitpushNews

When Donald Trump won the presidential election in November, many cryptocurrency enthusiasts cheered as he promised to prioritize regulatory relaxation and legalize crypto businesses.

A few days before his inauguration, heavyweights of the industry gathered in Washington for a "crypto gala," celebrating their newfound status as members of the Washington power circle.

However, during the event, almost everyone was shocked by one of Trump's moves, where he announced a new coin called TRUMP, a "meme coin" widely seen as having no intrinsic value, with its price entirely driven by market trading activity.

《Time》 Magazine: Trump Launches Coin, Has the

Trump's supporters and some opportunistic day traders created billions of dollars in trading volume around the coin, driven by loyalty, hype, and the opportunity for quick profits. All these transactions allowed the coin's founder—Trump's affiliated company—to realize billions of dollars in paper gains. On the second day of the coin's release, Melania Trump announced her own meme coin, which also experienced wild price swings. By Wednesday, TRUMP had become the 25th largest cryptocurrency by market cap globally, with a price of around $43, well below its previous peak of $75.

Trump's meme coin brought significant attention to the cryptocurrency industry and attracted many newcomers to the sector.

For some, these coins symbolized Trump's commitment to cryptocurrency and his willingness to drive industry growth. However, many more within the cryptocurrency community viewed these coins with disdain, seeing them as nothing more than a cash grab, a means for Trump to directly profit from his supporters. Trump's team controls at least 80% of the coin's supply, giving them significant influence over the coin's price. While they are temporarily prohibited from selling these holdings, any future sell-off could lead to a market crash, causing substantial losses to ordinary users.

Insiders in the cryptocurrency industry are concerned that these coins may further sow public distrust in an industry already rife with scams and malicious activities.

「The crypto industry empowers an individual, and their first action is to emphasize and capitalize on the rug-pull opportunities in this space,」 cryptocurrency researcher and writer Angela Walch stated, 「It's just embarrassing.」

Trump downplayed his role in the coin's launch, saying during a press conference on January 21, 「Apart from me launching it, I know next to nothing about this coin.」 The Trump Group did not immediately respond to a request for comment. White House spokespeople also declined to comment.

However, elected officials and legal experts have raised ethical and geopolitical concerns. They believe these tokens could become tools for bribery and conflicts of interest. 「These tokens provide Trump with a way to gain economic benefits from foreign adversaries and may allow him to prioritize personal gain over the collective interests of the American people,」 said Puja Ohlhaver, a lawyer at Harvard's Democratic Innovation Lab.

What Is a Memecoin?

Both TRUMP and MELANIA fall under memecoins. These cryptocurrencies are essentially created out of thin air by entrepreneurs through writing blockchain code. Their value entirely depends on people's belief in them and their willingness to buy. To spark market enthusiasm, the teams behind these coins typically leverage popular memes on social media for marketing. The logic behind this is that if memes on social media can drive cultural, creative, and even ideological developments, why can't they also become valuable in finance?

Dogecoin and Shiba Inu are two typical examples, especially Dogecoin, as Elon Musk's tweets have often led to its price surging. However, memecoins lack intrinsic value, making them highly volatile and speculative. This characteristic is precisely what attracts some people: if investors buy at the right time, they may earn huge profits. Conversely, if they buy at the market peak, they may quickly lose all their funds. Additionally, memecoins have been used in some so-called scams, where investors have lost significant amounts of money.

Trump's Relationship with Meme Culture

Trump's supporters often use memes as a marketing tool. During his presidential campaign, a content creation team extensively posted pro-Trump memes on social media. Last summer, some unofficial Trump memecoins, such as Pepe (TRUMP) and Maga People Token (PEOPLE), also experienced price fluctuations, with some investors even viewing them as symbols of Trump's chances of winning the election.

Trump has also made money through cryptocurrency. He began selling NFT trading cards in 2022 and reportedly earned millions of dollars according to financial disclosure documents. In September 2023, he launched the yet-to-be-launched cryptocurrency platform World Liberty Financial. By 2025, meme coins may have become the fastest way for emerging cryptocurrency entrepreneurs to make money.

TRUMP's Trading Frenzy

On January 18, two days before the inauguration, Trump launched his token through a subsidiary of the Trump Organization, CIC Digital LLC. This move took the entire industry by surprise. It was during the "Crypto Ball," an event that also featured guests like Snoop Dogg and House Speaker Mike Johnson. Cryptocurrency entrepreneur Nick O'Neill released a video at the event stating that almost no one at the venue knew about the existence of the token.

The next day, the market began trading the token frantically, triggering a chain reaction. The blockchain platform Solana and the cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, both supporting the token, experienced hours-long trading delays. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong tweeted, "We did not anticipate this level of trading activity."

Within a single day, the team controlling the token (led by CIC Digital) had a token value on their books of around $510 billion. However, this number was not realistically achievable because if they attempted to convert the token to USD, its price would plummet rapidly. Later that day, Melania Trump released her own meme coin, MELANIA, effectively cutting TRUMP's market cap by billions of dollars as traders seemed to sell off TRUMP to buy the new coin. Within an hour of MELANIA going live, TRUMP's price dropped from over $70 to around $45. A fake coin unrelated to Trump's son, BARRON, also briefly reached a market cap of $460 million but then crashed by 95%.

Industry's Moral Dilemma

Some of Trump's cryptocurrency supporters accused him of engaging in predatory behavior using meme coins. Cryptocurrency advocates decentralization, yet the President's team controlled at least 80% of the TRUMP supply. Another blockchain analytics company, Bubblemaps, found that 89% of the MELANIA token supply was concentrated in a single crypto wallet. Coinbase executive Connor McGregor wrote on Saturday that the Trump team had earned $58 million just from transaction fees.

“Trump's reputation has been completely ruined,” investment manager Michael A. Gayed wrote. Former White House Communications Director and cryptocurrency advocate Anthony Scaramucci said, “No one will think this behavior is good for society.”

Angela Walch summed it up, saying, “The entire industry is now undergoing a profound reflection. We have gained power, but does this align with our original goals?”

Concerns About Ethics and National Security

Critics outside the cryptocurrency industry have also raised ethical concerns. Trump is now directly involved in an industry he is responsible for regulating. (The controlling company is a subsidiary of the Trump Organization, they wrote, stating that the Trump token is "not an investment or security, but a form of 'expressive backing.'") Critics argue that the President's windfall from cryptocurrencies gives him no incentive to crack down on the industry, which could lead to a devaluation of his token by billions of dollars. California Democratic Congressman Ro Khanna, one of the leading cryptocurrency supporters in Congress, wrote on X, “The law must prohibit elected officials from holding meme coins.”

Some critics are concerned that these tokens pose a national security threat as they allow foreign agents to purchase large quantities of tokens as leverage in Trump's policy decisions. These agents may buy tokens to win Trump's support—or threaten to sell them, potentially causing a token price crash. Allen Lab's Ohlhaver said they can also use cryptographic technology to hide their identities from everyone in the world, except Trump.

The Founding Fathers sought to prevent such conflicts of interest through the Emoluments Clause in the Constitution, which prohibits the President from using their office to enrich themselves. (At the time, gift-giving was a common corrupt practice among European rulers and diplomats.) Some argue that Trump issued the tokens before taking the oath of office, meaning he was acting as a private citizen. Cryptocurrency journalist Zack Guzmán wrote on X, “Issuing these tokens before Trump formally became President wasn't that complicated for them. “It would be much easier to claim that Trump profited from the presidency and violated the Emoluments Clause.”

However, Ohlhaver believes that as long as Trump holds token stakes, there is a significant conflict of interest. “He still has tokens, and if foreign adversaries pump them up, the price of these tokens will appreciate,” she said.

Ohlhaver also stated that Trump's meme coin fundamentally threatens the public's understanding of money. “With the rise of social media and global social networks, it has become very easy to use your status and influence to create a new form of currency and legitimize it,” she said. “For us, it is important to maintain our national public goods, ensuring they serve our common interests, rather than serving the narrow interests of the elite class, who will gain huge benefits at the expense of everyone else.”

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$COIN Joins S&P 500, but Coinbase Isn't Celebrating

On May 13, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that Coinbase would officially replace Discover Financial Services in the S&P 500 on May 19. While other companies like Block and MicroStrategy, closely tied to Bitcoin, were already part of the S&P 500, Coinbase became the first cryptocurrency exchange whose primary business is in the index. This also signifies that cryptocurrency is gradually moving from the fringes to the mainstream in the U.S.



On the day of the announcement, Coinbase's stock price surged by 23%, surpassing the $250 mark. However, just 3 days later, Coinbase was hit by two consecutive events: a hack where employees were bribed to steal customer data and a demand for a $20 million ransom, and an investigation by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) into the authenticity of its claim of having over 100 million "verified users" in its securities filings and marketing materials. These two events acted as mini-bombs, and at the time of writing, Coinbase's stock had already dropped by over 7.3%.


Coincidentally, Discover Financial Services, being replaced by Coinbase, can also be considered the "Coinbase" of the previous payment era. Discover is a U.S.-based digital banking and payment services company headquartered in Illinois, founded in 1960. Its payment network, Discover Network, is the fourth largest payment network apart from Visa, Mastercard, and American Express.


In April, after the approval of the acquisition of Discover by the sixth-largest U.S. bank, Capital One, this well-established digital banking company of over 60 years smoothly handed over its S&P 500 "seat" to this emerging cryptocurrency "bank." This unexpected coincidence also portrayed the handover between the new and old eras in Coinbase's entry into the S&P 500, resembling a relay race scene. However, this relay baton also brought Coinbase's accumulated "external troubles and internal strife" to a tipping point.


Side Effects of ETFs


Over the past decade, cryptocurrency exchanges have been the most stable "profit machines." They play a role in providing liquidity to the entire industry and rely on trading fees to sustain their operations. However, with the comprehensive rollout of ETF products in the U.S. market, this profit model is facing unprecedented challenges. As the leader in the "American stack," with over 80% of its business coming from the U.S., Coinbase is most affected by this.



Starting from the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, traditional financial capital has significantly onboarded users and funds that originally belonged to exchanges in a more cost-effective, compliant, and transparent manner. The transaction fee revenue of cryptocurrency exchanges has started to decline, and this trend may further intensify in the coming months.


According to Coinbase's 2024 Q4 financial report, the platform's total trading revenue was $417 million, a 45% year-on-year decrease. The contribution of BTC and ETH's trading revenue dropped from 65% in the same period last year to less than 50%.


This decline is not a result of a decrease in market enthusiasm. In fact, since the approval of the Bitcoin ETF in January 2024, the inflow of BTC into the U.S. market has continued to reach new highs, with asset management giants like BlackRock and Fidelity rapidly expanding their management scale. Data shows that BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) alone has surpassed $17 billion in assets under management. As of mid-May 2025, the cumulative net inflow of 11 major institutional Bitcoin spot ETFs on the market has exceeded $41.5 billion, with a total net asset value of $1214.69 billion, accounting for approximately 5.91% of the total Bitcoin market capitalization.


Chart showing the trend of net outflows for Grayscale among the 11 institutions


Institutional investors and some retail investors are shifting towards ETF products, partly due to compliance and tax considerations. On one hand, ETFs have much lower trading costs compared to cryptocurrency exchanges. While Coinbase's spot trading fee rate varies annually in a tiered manner but averages around 1.49%, for example, the management fee for IBIT ETF is only 0.25%, and the majority of ETF institution fees fluctuate around 0.15% to 0.25%.



In other words, the more rational users are, the more likely they are to move from exchanges to ETF products, especially for investors aiming for long-term holdings.


According to multiple sources, several institutions, including VanEck and Grayscale, have submitted applications to the SEC for a Solana (SOL) ETF, with some institutions also planning to submit an XRP ETF proposal. Once approved, this may trigger a new round of fund migration. According to a report submitted by Coinbase to the SEC, as of April, the platform's trading revenue from XRP and Solana accounted for 18% and 10%, nearly one-third of the platform's fee revenue.



However, the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs passed in 2024 also reduced the fees for these two tokens on Coinbase from 30% and 15% to 26% and 10%, respectively. If the SOL and XRP ETFs are approved, it will further undermine the core fee revenue of exchanges like Coinbase.


The expansion of ETF products is gradually weakening the financial intermediary status of cryptocurrency exchanges. From their original roles as matchmakers and clearers to now gradually becoming mere "on-ramps and off-ramps" for funds, exchanges are seeing their marginal value squeezed by ETFs.


Robinhood Takes a Stand, Traditional Brokerages Join the Fray


On May 12, 2025, SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins gave a keynote speech at the Tokenization and Cryptocurrency Working Group roundtable. The theme of his speech revolved around "It is a new day at the SEC," where he indicated that the SEC would not approach enforcement and regulation the same way as before but would instead pave the way for cryptocurrency assets in the U.S. market.



With signs of cryptocurrency compliance such as the SEC's "NEW DAY" declaration, an increasing number of traditional brokerages are attempting to enter the cryptocurrency industry. One of the most representative cases is the well-known U.S. brokerage Robinhood, which began expanding its crypto business in 2018. By the time of its IPO in 2021, Robinhood's crypto business revenue accounted for over 50% of the company, with a significant boost from the Dogecoin "moonshot" promoted by Musk.


In Q1 2025 earnings report, Robinhood showcased strong growth, especially in revenue from cryptocurrency and options trading. Fueled by Trump's Memecoin, cryptocurrency-related revenue reached $250 million, nearly doubling year-over-year. Consequently, Robinhood Gold subscription users reached 3.5 million, a 90% increase from the previous year, with the rapid growth of Robinhood Gold providing the company with a stable source of income.



Meanwhile, RobinHood is actively pursuing acquisitions in the cryptocurrency space. In 2024, it announced a $2 billion acquisition of the long-standing European cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp. Additionally, Canada's largest cryptocurrency CEX, WonderFi, which recently went public on the Toronto Stock Exchange, also announced its integration with RobinHood Crypto. After obtaining virtual asset licenses in the UK, Canada, Singapore, and other markets, RobinHood has taken a proactive approach in the compliant cryptocurrency trading market.



Furthermore, an increasing number of brokerage firms are exploring the same path. Futu Securities, Tiger Brokers, and others are also dipping their toes into cryptocurrency trading, with some having applied for or obtained the VA license from the Hong Kong SFC. Although their user bases are currently small, traditional brokerages have a natural advantage in user trust, regulatory licenses, and low fee structures. This could pose a threat to native cryptocurrency platforms in the future.



User Data Breach: Is Coinbase Still Secure?


In April 2025, security researchers discovered that some Coinbase user data was leaked on the dark web. While the platform initially responded by attributing it to a "technical misinformation," it still raised concerns among users regarding its security and privacy protection. Just two days before Dow Jones Indexes announced Coinbase's addition to the S&P 500 Index, on May 11, 2025, Coinbase received an email from an unknown threat actor claiming to have obtained customer account information and internal documents, demanding a $20 million ransom to keep the data private. Subsequent investigations confirmed the data breach.


Cybercriminals obtained the data by bribing overseas customer service agents and support staff, mainly in "non-U.S. regions such as India." These agents abused their access to Coinbase's internal customer support system and stole customer data. As early as February this year, blockchain detective ZachXBT revealed on X platform that between December 2024 and January 2025, Coinbase users lost over $65 million to social engineering scams, with the actual amount potentially higher.


Among the victims was a well-known figure, 67-year-old Ed Suman, an established artist in the art world for nearly two decades, having been involved in the creation of artworks such as Jeff Koons' "Balloon Dog" sculpture. Earlier this year, he fell victim to an impersonation scam involving fake Coinbase customer support, resulting in a loss of over $2 million in cryptocurrency. ZachXBT critiqued Coinbase for its inadequate handling of such scams, noting that other major exchanges have not faced similar issues and recommending Coinbase to enhance its security measures.


Amidst a series of ongoing social engineering incidents, although there has not been any impact on user assets at the technical level so far, it has raised concerns among many retail and institutional investors. Especially institutions holding massive assets on Coinbase. Just considering the U.S. BTC ETF institutions, as of mid-May 2025, they collectively hold nearly 840,000 BTC, and 75% of these are custodied by Coinbase. If we price BTC at $100,000, this amount reaches a staggering $63 billion, which is equivalent to the nominal GDP of two Iceland in the year 2024.


Visualization: ChatGPT, Source: Farside


In addition, Coinbase Custody also serves over 300 institutional clients, including hedge funds, family offices, pension funds, and endowments. As of the Q1 2025 financial report, Coinbase's total assets under management (including institutional and retail clients) reached $404 billion. The specific amount of institutional custodied assets was not explicitly disclosed in the latest report, but it should still be over 50% based on the Q4 2024 report.


Visualization: ChatGPT


Once this security barrier is breached, not only could the rate of user attrition far exceed expectations, but more importantly, institutional trust in it would undermine the foundation of its business. Therefore, after a hacking event, Coinbase's stock price plummeted significantly.


CEXs are All in Self-Rescue Mode


Facing a decline in spot trading fee revenue, Coinbase is also accelerating its transformation, attempting to find growth opportunities in derivatives and emerging assets. Coinbase acquired a stake in the options platform Deribit at the end of 2024 and announced the official launch of perpetual contract products in 2025. This acquisition fills in Coinbase's gap in options trading and its relatively small global market share.



Deribit has a strong presence in non-U.S. markets, especially in Asia and Europe. The acquisition has enabled Coinbase to gain a dominant position in bitcoin and ethereum options trading on Deribit, accounting for approximately 80% of the global options trading volume, with daily trading volume remaining above $2 billion.


Meanwhile, 80-90% of Deribit's customer base consists of institutional investors, with their professionalism and liquidity in the Bitcoin and Ethereum options market highly favored by institutions. Coinbase's compliance advantage, coupled with its already robust institutional ecosystem, makes it even more suitable. By using institutions as an entry point, it can face the squeeze from giants like Binance and OKX in the derivatives market.



Facing a similar dilemma is Kraken, which is attempting to replicate Binance Futures' model in non-U.S. markets. Since the derivatives market relies more on professional users, fee rates are relatively higher and stickiness is stronger, making it a significant source of revenue for exchanges. In the first half of 2025, Kraken completed the acquisition of TradeStation Crypto and a futures exchange, aiming to build a complete derivatives trading ecosystem to hedge the risk of declining spot transaction fee income.


With the surge of Memecoin in 2024, Binance, OKX, and various CEX platforms began massively listing small-market-cap, highly volatile tokens to activate active trading users. Due to the wealth effect and trading activity of Memecoins, Coinbase was also forced to join the battle, successively listing popular tokens from the Solana ecosystem such as BOOK OF MEME and Dogwifhat. Although these coins are controversial, they are frequently traded, with fee rates several times higher than mainstream coins, serving as a "blood-boosting" method for spot trading.


However, due to its status as a publicly traded company, this practice is a riskier endeavor for Coinbase. Even in the current crypto-friendly environment, the SEC is still investigating whether tokens like SOL, ADA, and SAND constitute securities.


In addition to the forced transformation strategies carried out by the aforementioned CEXs, they are also starting to lay out RWAs and the most talked-about stablecoin payment fields, such as the PYUSD launched through a collaboration between Coinbase and Paypal, Coinbase's support for the Euro stablecoin EURC by Circle that complies with EU MiCA regulatory requirements, or the USD1 launched through a collaboration between Binance and WIFL. In the increasingly crowded trading field, many CEXs have shifted their focus from just the trading market to the application field.


The golden age of transaction fees has quietly ended, and the second half of the crypto exchange platform game has silently begun.


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XRP: XRP became the focal point of today's crypto discussion, with its significant market movements and strategic advances drawing attention. XRP has surpassed USDT to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, sparking market excitement and discussions about its future potential. The surge in market capitalization and price is believed to be related to increasing institutional interest, deepening strategic partnerships, and its role in the crypto ecosystem. Additionally, XRP's integration into multiple financial systems and its potential as a macro asset class are also seen as key factors driving the current market sentiment.


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Within 24 hours, GOONC's market cap soared to 70 million, could GOONC be the next billion-dollar dog on the Believe platform?

Bitcoin has broken $100,000, Ethereum has surpassed 2500, and is Solana's hot streak about to make a comeback?


The current market is in a state of macro euphoria, with GOONC riding the wave today, skyrocketing 10x in just a few hours, reaching a market cap of tens of millions of dollars, trading volume soaring past 50 million, and rumors swirling that the developer may be from OpenAI (unconfirmed but intriguing enough).


The "gooning" Culture in Forums


A ludicrous and absurd Solana meme that some actually buy into.


GOONC is a meme coin that has sprouted from the "gooning" subculture, offering no technological innovation or practical use, its sole function being speculation.


It takes inspiration from an NSFW term "gooning," which refers to a person being deeply immersed in certain content (you know what), eventually entering a nearly religious-like trance.


In Reddit (such as r/GOONED, r/GoonCaves) and some counterculture media outlets (such as MEL Magazine in 2020), "gooning" has gradually transitioned from an adult label to a meme-addicted, digital content and virtual self-indulgence synonym, arguably the epitome of Degen spirit.


GOONC is playing around with this concept, packaging the addictive nature, uselessness, and irony of gooning into a tradable financial product. The project team has made it clear: "We do not solve blockchain problems, we only trade absurdity." Blunt but oddly genuine.


GOONC launched on May 13, 2025, using the meme coin launch platform Believe App's LaunchCoin module on Solana. This tool is highly Degen: zero technical barriers, a few clicks to create a coin, perfect for projects like GOONC that can come up with ideas out of the blue.



The mastermind behind GOONC is also quite something and is the most talked-about, with KOL @basedalexandoor on X platform (alias "Pata van Goon") personally involved. His profile even caught the attention of Marc Andreessen, co-founder of a16z, making onlookers unable to resist speculating if GOONC has a hint of OpenAI lineage.



While this 'OpenAI Endorsement' is currently just community speculation, it is definitely a good card to play to fuel hype. Saying "we are pure speculation" on one hand, while tagging a few "AI + a16z" on the other.


From Wasteland to Moon in One Night


GOONC took off as soon as it launched. After its launch on May 13, 2025, its market capitalization skyrocketed to $22 million within 4 hours, with a trading volume exceeding $25.6 million in 24 hours. According to platform data, the first day of trading saw an astonishing +41,100% surge, soaring from $0.0000001 to $0.02, becoming a "missed-the-boat" situation.


GOONC quickly formed an active trading community post-launch, with a lot of discussion and trading signals appearing on X platform (such as the 292x return signal provided by DeBot). Liquidity pools on exchanges like Raydium and Meteora grew rapidly, supporting high trading volumes and price increases.


The real climax occurred between May 13 and May 14, with the market cap rising to $5.5 million in the morning and directly surpassing $55 million in the afternoon. By the 14th, it briefly approached a $70 million market cap, with the trading volume soaring to $59 million. Some community members even posted screenshots claiming an increase of +85,000%, creating a new myth out of the ruins.


As of 1:30 pm on May 14, the price stabilized around $0.039, with a total market cap and FDV both around $39.6 million, and a 24-hour trading volume of $5.43 million. Active platforms include XT.COM, LBank, Meteora, and others.


Although there was a slight pullback from the peak ($0.07), the coin's popularity remains strong. For a coin that relies purely on "irony + community + X post" to thrive, this performance is already at a stellar level.



Currently, the background of the token's development team is not transparent, increasing the potential risk of a rug pull. Rugcheck.xyz warns that the creator of the GOONC contract may have permission to modify the contract (e.g., change fees or mint additional tokens), posing certain security risks.


Community members speculate that the meteoric rise of GOONC may be the "last hurrah".


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